"History is a wonderful thing, if only it was true"
-Tolstoy

Monday, August 04, 2008

Not so fast ...

Well, first we had Santa's Workshop flooding

North Pole May Be Ice-Free for First Time This Summer:
"Arctic warming has become so dramatic that the North Pole may melt this summer, report scientists studying the effects of climate change in the field.

'We're actually projecting this year that the North Pole may be free of ice for the first time [in history],' David Barber, of the University of Manitoba, told National Geographic News aboard the C.C.G.S. Amundsen, a Canadian research icebreaker."

But now maybe not:
Arctic Sea Ice News & Analysis:

"The Arctic sea ice is now at the peak of the melt season. Although ice extent is below average, it seems less likely that extent will approach last year’s record low.

The pace of summer decline is slower than last year’s record-shattering rate, and peak sunlight has passed with the summer solstice. However, at least six weeks of melt are left in the season and much of the remaining ice is thin and vulnerable to rapid loss. A race has developed between the waning sunlight and the weakened ice."

Just goes to show that predictions are imperfect

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